ASUU’s Fate Hangs on Weekend: Will Class Resume or Strike Loom Again?

The lecturer-community in Nigeria’s public universities stands at a precipice. The Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) has declared that it will decide its next course of action — whether to resume academic activities or call another strike — only after a comprehensive briefing this weekend by its renegotiation team. Until then, the academic future of thousands of students remains in limbo.

At the heart of the uncertainty is a glaring lack of clarity. As of now, many ASUU members say they are still unaware of what was concluded during recent discussions between the union’s negotiating committee and the Federal Government of Nigeria (FG). According to statements from the union’s LAUTECH branch, “we have not been briefed. We don’t know what has happened and we don’t know what we are going to do.” That blank space — that silence — has deepened anxiety across campuses nationwide, among students, parents, and staff alike.

This moment follows a tense period of negotiations and concessions. Earlier in October 2025, ASUU had initiated a two-week warning strike after its 14-day ultimatum to the government lapsed, demanding renegotiation of the outdated 2009 FG–ASUU agreement, payment of withheld salaries and earned academic allowances, and release of revitalization funds for public universities. The strike, which commenced on October 13, was abruptly suspended on October 22 after the union’s National Executive Council (NEC) concluded that some progress had been made — and granted the government a one-month grace period to finalize talks. The decision was widely interpreted as a gesture of goodwill — an attempt to salvage academic continuity while giving FG one final chance to deliver.

Since then, government negotiators led by a renegotiation committee restarted talks with ASUU, describing the sessions as a “final push” to avert another nationwide shutdown. At the conclusion of the most recent round of discussions, the union formally announced that negotiations had ended and that NEC would meet to review the terms presented. The outcome of that meeting was expected this week — but as of now, union branches remain without any official report.

The stakes are high and the consequences profound. For students, especially undergraduates in public universities, the looming possibility of yet another strike threatens to derail academic calendars, delay graduations, and jeopardise plans for further studies or employment. For many final-year students, the uncertainty could mean altered graduation timelines, disrupted project submissions, and increased financial burden as extra months of stay may become inevitable.

Beyond the immediate academic disruptions, there is a deeper, systemic concern: repeated cycles of industrial action, temporary negotiations, and unresolved demands gradually erode trust in the public university system. The recurring pattern of strikes, suspensions, and narrow-band “resolutions” without structural reforms risks driving away both lecturers and students, fueling brain drain, and reducing the institutions into chronically unstable pools of uncertainty.

The government, for its part, insists it has acted in good faith. Officials claim that many of ASUU’s demands — including back-payments, allowances, and funding allocations — have been addressed, and that efforts are ongoing to implement reforms. But ASUU leaders, from multiple branches, have publicly rejected such claims as misleading. They argue that what the government portrays as resolutions are little more than token gestures lacking substance. The union has repeatedly dismissed official statements as insufficient and called on the government to produce concrete results — actual credit alerts to lecturers, disbursement of funds to universities, and a binding new agreement that ensures sustained funding and welfare improvements.

As the weekend draws near, all eyes now turn to the internal briefing within ASUU and the impending NEC decision. Will this be the moment of truce — a realignment around concrete commitments and a return to classrooms? Or will it mark the beginning of another shutdown, deepening an already fragile state of public tertiary education?

For students, parents, academic staff, and stakeholders — including readers of this blog — the next 48 to 72 hours may determine whether the promise of learning continues or yet another academic session fades into uncertainty. What happens next will not only shape university calendars, but the broader confidence in Nigeria’s educational future.

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